World Cup Extra Time Rules｜When Penalty Shootouts Occur & Analysis
In World Cup knockout matches, extra time is played if scores are level after 90 minutes. If still tied, a penalty shootout follows. This article explains the rules with probability analysis.
I. Extra Time & Penalty Rules｜Basic Overview
- ⚽ Extra time trigger: Scores level after 90 minutes
- ⚽ Extra time duration: 30 minutes (15+15)
- ⚽ Penalty shootout trigger: Still tied after extra time
- ⚽ Extra time substitution: 4th substitute allowed (since 2022)
II. Extra Time & Penalty Probability by Round
| Round | Extra Time Probability | Penalty Probability | Round of 32 | ~12% | ~3% |
|---|---|---|
| Round of 16 | ~16% | ~5% |
| Quarter-finals | ~22% | ~8% |
| Semi-finals | ~25% | ~10% |
| Final | ~27% | ~14% |
III. Extra Time Goal Statistics
- 📊 Goals in extra time: ~55% of extra time matches
- 📊 First half of extra time: ~40% of goals
- 📊 Second half of extra time: ~60% (including late winners)
IV. Penalty Shootout Statistics
- 🎯 First-shooter win rate: ~60%
- ⚽ Average rounds: ~4.2
- 🧤 Save percentage: ~22%
- 📊 Miss/save rate: ~28%
V. Impact on Odds
- 📈 Draw odds in regular time: Offer value in knockout stage
- 📉 Draw odds drop sharply after 85 minutes
- 🔥 Late extra time focuses on penalty shootout markets
VI. FAQs
How long is extra time？
30 minutes (15+15).How many substitutions in extra time？
4th substitute allowed (3 in regular time + 1 in extra time).🔔 Extra time and penalties are critical variables for knockout betting.